Oil Geopolitics and Iran

The baseline is for prices to return to about $70 for a barrel of Brent Crude in 2016. Additional supply from Iran would knock roughly $5/barrel off expectations – or less than one quarter of a standard deviation. Said another way, additional Iranian output could move prices lower, but many other factors, such as changes in global GDP or the return of Libyan oil, could prove more meaningful over the next year. What’s more, recent trading suggests the market has already priced in much of this risk.

Over the longer term, I believe an increase in Iranian output could be for sure significant. With investment and time, Iran could meet a greater share of global demand for oil and liquefied natural gas (LNG). It also could ship natural gas to Europe via pipeline, challenging Russia’s dominance.

For More: http://ziadabdelnourauthor.com/oil-geopolitics-and-iran/

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Standing With Donald Trump

Israel’s wall along the Palesinian territory has reduced terror assaults dramatically. Tunisia and Israel are building walls to keep ISIS out of their countries. If there was little hope of the walls keeping out an entire army of well armed extremist fighters neither country would waste the resources to build them. Yet the primary excuse in the U.S. for not finishing the wall along the southern border is that it cannot work.

The false outrage over Donald Trump’s recent remarks about illegal immigrants were twisted to meet the desires of those crying wolf. Almost immediately three horrible crimes were laid at the feet of illegals sheltered in cities that refuse to cooperate with immigration laws or even court orders to deal with criminals as illegals.

For More: Standing With Donald Trump

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Assessing The Trump Candidacy

There are some implications for the financial and investing communities.

But first, to address the well-founded skepticism after previous teases at runs each election cycle since 2000: Trump is running in the Republican primary and has just filed the requisite documents with the Federal Election Commission. He has the funds to tackle the ballot access requirements in each state, and to hire the brains to strategize a successful run.

In those respects, Trump evokes a comparison to an equally iconoclastic predecessor who ran twice for President in 1992 and 1996: H. Ross Perot. Now, Trump has a big advantage over Perot in that while it is far easier to get to the general election as a self-financing independent, it is far easier to actually win if you are the nominee of one of the two major parties.

For More: http://www.financialpolicycouncil.org/fpcnew/blogdetails.aspx?id=1099/Assessing-The-Trump-Candidacy

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Abdelnour - Government Needs to Let Businesses Create Jobs

The U.S. government shouldn’t worry about creating jobs — but instead, it should generate an environment that encourages businesses to create jobs, says Ziad Abdelnour, author and CEO of Blackhawk Partners.

Leadership should focus more on cutting spending and avoid raising taxes and let millionaires hire and create more millionaires, Abdelnour tells Newsmax.TV in an exclusive video interview.

Focusing too much attention on blaming Wall Street fat cats and ignoring the Main Street entrepreneur won't help the U.S. economy.

For More: http://www.newsmax.com/finance/InvestingAnalysis/Abdelnour-Government-Businesses-Jobs/2011/12/01/id/419692/

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Financial Policy Council Hosts Leading Crowdfunding Experts

Financial Policy Council will host a private briefing with a panel of four crowdfunding experts who will discuss how Wall Street investment firms can strengthen market share and viability through crowdfunding. The speakers Georgia P. Quinn, D.J. Paul, Chris Tyrell, and Joy Schoffler each have unique backgrounds in various industries, but share a common, extensive understanding of the financial technology sector and the effect that crowdfunding will bring to the investment world. Ziad Abelnour, the founder and chairman of Financial Policy Council Inc., will moderate the panel.

Once overlooked entirely by institutional investors, crowdfunding has now become a solid contender in the financial world, eclipsing angel investments and eventually overtaking venture capital as the primary method for funding new businesses.

For More: http://www.prweb.com/releases/2015/08/prweb12881791.htm

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My Favorite Way to Beat the Market By Mark Skousen

MY PERSONAL OPINION ON IRAN’S NUCLEAR DEAL

On the surface, the deal for most Western leaders looks good.  The West has nothing to lose but everything to gain from this deal. The major nuclear suppliers  and corporations which are housed in the West gain money and business. There is no risk involved as the inspection standards are pretty strict. The West also gets to clean up its image of being anti-Muslim. It also gets a strong hold in the Middle East as Iran is close to Afghanistan and Pakistan, gets to check Chinese and Russian presence in the region and above all make huge amounts of money.

Iran on the other hand gets to keep its nuclear program, albeit a limited one. Also, Iran acquires first rate technology, improves its energy security and currency reserves and gets a tremendous boost in its economy.

For More: http://ziadabdelnour.org/my-personal-opinion-on-irans-nuclear-deal/

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